Even the largest avalanche is triggered by small things.
In fact, there was general agreement that minds can exist on nonbiological substrates and that algorithms are of central importance to the existence of minds.
The problem is not simply that the Singularity represents the passing of humankind from center stage, but that it contradicts our most deeply held notions of being.
I argue in this paper that we are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth.
And for all my rampant technological optimism, sometimes I think I'd be more comfortable if I were regarding these transcendental events from one thousand years remove... instead of twenty.
When I began writing science fiction in the middle '60s, it seemed very easy to find ideas that took decades to percolate into the cultural consciousness; now the lead time seems more like eighteen months.
Another symptom of progress toward the Singularity: ideas themselves should spread ever faster, and even the most radical will quickly become commonplace.
But if the technological Singularity can happen, it will.
How will the approach of the Singularity spread across the human world view?
Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence.
The physical extinction of the human race is one possibility.
When people speak of creating superhumanly intelligent beings, they are usually imagining an AI project.
But every time our ability to access information and to communicate it to others is improved, in some sense we have achieved an increase over natural intelligence.
It is a point where our old models must be discarded and a new reality rules.
The dilemma felt by science fiction writers will be perceived in other creative endeavors.
For un-subscribe please check the mail footer.